So it comes down to this. The final race of the lengthy NASCAR season. Following 35 points paying races, the last 4 drivers that will race for the championship Sunday have been decided.
Considering that the removal format to decide a champion was introduced two years back the champion has also won the race. Odds are then that the winner of the race Sunday will also wear the Cup crown. Others could win, but three of those previous five race winners dating back to Tony Stewart at 2011, have also won the title, so don’t be shocked if the motorist celebrating a race triumph in victory lane Sunday, is also celebrating his championship.
Here is how it shakes out among the four finalists for Sunday’s 36th race of this year for your gambling or fantasy racing leagues. Driver Ratings are compiled from 2005-2016 races (23 total) among active drivers in Phoenix. The Driver Rating is a number based on a formula developed by NASCAR which unites”loop info” components like average running posture, average speed under green, variety of workouts, and other stats. There is a maximum of 150 points that a driver can make for every race. The odds are present as of Wednesday.
1. Carl Edwards (7-1). Edwards has two wins here along with the highest driver evaluation one of the 4, 109.4. The only driver among the Championship 4 having a number of wins at Homestead, Edwards still has memories of losing the race, along with the name, to Tony Stewart in 2011. Part of the Joe Gibbs Racing team, Edwards will be looking for salvation Sunday, and he might just get it.
2. Jimmie Johnson (7-2). Homestead is one of the few tracks in NASCAR which Johnson hasn’t won at. He runs well here and has the second greatest driver evaluation of this 4, 96.7. Johnson will want to make history Sunday with a seventh title. If he brings his”A” game and may avoid a few of the miscues that the group has suffered this season occasionally, Johnson could just pull it off.
3. Kyle Busch (5-1). Busch is seeking to defend his name, made by a win at Homestead last year. He has the third greatest driver rating, 95.5. But he hardly left the Championship 4, also has struggled at times. However, with one last race and a chance to bring another title, and Joe Gibbs rebounds , Busch could be in position to add another triumph, and another name.
4. Joey Logano (7-1). Logano is perhaps the underdog among the Championship 4. He’s never won at Homestead, gets the lowest driver evaluation one of the area, 83.5. But Logano finished fourth here last year and headed the second most laps in the race,” 72. Logano was surprising at times this season and he could certainly be a surprise Sunday by winning his first Cup title.
OTHERS: There will be a total of 36 other motorists seeking to win Sunday. Chief among them, Matt Kenseth (12-1). Kenseth has the second greatest driver rating one of the field, 108.4, also won here in 2007. Coming off a disappointing finish at Phoenix a week, Kenseth will be seeking to make a powerful statement. Kevin Harvick (6-1) was frustrated a week as he failed to make the cut for the first time since the removal format began. He won the raceand the name in 2014, has the fifth greatest driver evaluation, 104.3, and may add another win to his Homestead restart Sunday.
The NASCAR Sprint Cup Ford EcoBoost 400 in Homestead-Miami Speedway will be run on Sunday, November 20. Live coverage is going to be on NBC beginning at 2:00 p.m. ET using the green flag coming only after 2:30 p.m. ET.
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