This weekend, we have a PPV card in Vegas. DraftKings has some strong competitions for us to win a great deal of cash from this week and that I can’t wait to chase these huge prizes. The main GPP is a $15 buy-in and $50k goes to 1st place with a total of $250k being paid out. They also have a brand new Qualifier just tournament for $175,000. There’ll be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they will compete for a $50k first place price and that $175k will probably be spread out between all 100 entries that match. I won my very first seat into it last week and will try to get my 2nd and 3rd chairs this week if possible. Those Qualifier only competitions can be real bankroll suckers so be cautious chasing those overly hard. I will likely stick to the very best GPP this week and then throw 100 or so entries at the $50k decoration, then I will probably have a few shots at the Qualifier. I will also be posting H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs throughout the week to get a fantastic quantity of drama into cash games.
With that said, let’s get to a couple plays I enjoy this week along with my fade of this week:
Money Game play of this week — Jon Jones — $9,600
Jones is a lock for my cash game lineup this week in his -800 gaming lineup. I’ll take that free square foot and proceed. He should dominate this battle and he can finish it on the toes or the ground. I expect him to score more than 100-points and I am perfectly fine with paying 9.6k for it. When I am making lineups, I want to attempt to have at least 10x from every fighter. Together with Jones being 9.6k, I want at least 96 points . That’s the way I look at it. If this was a 3-round fight and I didn’t think Jones could get a finish then perhaps he only dents 80-85 DK points in a win, and at $9.6k I wouldn’t want that. However, this is a potential 5-round fight, and that I do expect Jones to dominate, so that cost is fine with me. For GPPs, I believe that you can get away from Jon Jones because he will be very highly possessed. If he’s 50% owned by the area and he only scores 85-90 DK points, then will pretty much kill half the field because that wouldn’t be sufficient points to put him that $50k lineup.
GPP play of this week — Ben Askren — $9,000
If Ben Askren wins this battle it’ll be from his wrestling. He is one of the greatest wrestlers in MMA history and today he is finally getting a chance from the UFC after dominating every organization he’s been in. He won’t wish to strike for long against Robbie Lawler, so that I expect him to shoot for takedowns straight away and string wrestle until he receives them. When he receives top control there is not likely to become a lot Robbie can perform on the ground and he must take a beating as long as it is on the mat. On DraftKings, each takedown is 5 points compared to 0.5 points to get a substantial strike. A guy like Askren can go out there and receive 10 takedowns at 15-minutes and that is what makes him a great play if he can think of the success.
Play of this week — Diego Sanchez — $7,100
This is not the Diego Sanchez of older, but I think he has what it takes to conquer Mickey Gall. On the toes, the volume from Sanchez should acquire it there as long as he doesn’t get pumped out. The chin of Diego is what I fear about most these days, but Gall is not much of a striker and I really don’t see him getting knockout. In addition, I don’t understand that Gall can get takedowns, and that I believe Sanchez would be the more likely man to be on top if the fight hits the floor. A submission is the best chance at a win of Gall and Sanchez has never been submitted. We must have underdogs in our DK lineups and at $7.1k Diego enables us to pay up for all those men like Jon Jones or Ben Askren. If he could grind a decision win here I presume he can become 10x that wages and when we could get a win against him at that inexpensive salary, I think we will probably be in line for this $50k win if we hit our other 5 spots.
Fade of this week — Anthony Smith ($6,600)
I might wind up using each fighter since I’m making so many lineups this week, however Anthony Smith is the guy I need the very least of. I attempt to acquire a favored for you guys as my fade of the week but I do not believe there are any need to fade favorites this week. Rather, I’m going with the 1 fighter I do not think stands a chance. I think that a fluke KO is the only route to success for Smith and that he really does not possess the one punch/kick power that it would take to pull off. I would be amazed when Smith pulled off the upset this week and if I was making 20 or less lineups, he’d be a simple fade.
Thanks for reading this and good luck this weekend! If You’d like my own full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every struggle on the card and give my full DraftKings analysis, in Addition to all my pick predictions, then you’ll find that for just $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are offered at that link too. I am 58-37 to get +177.62u (+$17,762) because May 19th on Premium Plays)
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