Labor Day is from the novels, however there is still plenty of baseball as we’ve got some September baseball before October, playoff baseball falls off to begin remaining left.
For now, let’s take a look at the rock-solid slate of tonight and see whether we could get some dough early in this week!
P — Jack Flaherty (STL) — $10,000 vs. SF
Few pitchers in baseball are as excellent as Jack Flaherty of late. Flaherty has been dominant all season long in the home and also his matchup tonight presents a significant ceiling for the young right-hander. Entering this one tonight, Flaherty owns a 3.31 ERA, 3.89 FIP, 3.88 xFIP and a 10.52 K/9 clip. However, in 55.1 innings since the All-Star fracture, Flaherty was hot hot to the tune of a 0.98 ERA, 2.39 FIP, 3.45 xFIP plus a big-time 11.55 K/9 rate. Flaherty has allowed two runs or fewer in each of the past 10 starts and you run or less in eight of those 10 starts. At home this year, the Cardinals right-hander has pitched to a 2.67 ERA, 3.57 FIP, 3.33 xFIP plus a 10.78 K/9 rate while his walk rate has dropped all the way to just 1.85 BB/9 over the year in Busch Stadium in St. Louis. The white-hot Flaherty will take on a Giants team that enters this one rated 27th using a .300 wOBA over the season vs right-handed pitching and although their 22.9% K-rate from righties is only middle of the bunch, there is lots of reason to think Flaherty has double-digit strikeout upside given his job . I didn’t need to think long and hard about using him at a reasonable price in this lineup .
C/1B — Freddie Freeman (ATL) — $4,300 vs. TOR
Usually I aim for GPP lineups using those FanDuel MLB DFS Picks, however tonight’s lineup leans further towards the money side with Flaherty combined with a four-man Breaves stack that’s projected to score a whopping 6.6 runs against Wilmer Font along with the Toronto Blue Jays. Font is the opener for the tonight because he will likely pitch two innings as he’s completed in a few of his last seven’begins’ together using the Jays. Font passes this one sporting a 4.22 ERA, 4.41 FIP and 4.58 xFIP across three teams this season after reluctantly pitching for 3 groups last season too. The Blue Jays’ bullpen has ever been strong this season ranked 13th overall and 11th because the All-Star fracture, however their 4.96 FIP rankings 23rd since the break and their 5.12 xFIP since the split ranks 28th, so we’ve got something to work with here. Input Freeman who is with a season for the Braves having a .298/ / .390/.576 slash on lineup with 38 home runs, a .278 ISO plus a 143 wRC+. Freeman owns a .305 ISO, 1.040 OPS, .424 wOBA and 161 wRC+ over the summer versus right-handed pitching and a .333 ISO, 1.043 OPS, .422 wOBA and 159 wRC+ on the year versus righties in the home. I believe I will take these numbers and run.
2B — Gavin Lux (LAD) — $2,000 vs. COL
Our first of two one-off within this lineup attracts a bunch of worth as he takes on right-hander Chi Chi Gonzalez and the Colorado Rockies tonight. To start with, Gonzalez was brutalized involving Triple-A along with also the big leagues this year as he possesses a grisly 8.07 ERA, 7.31 FIP, 6.10 xFIP along with a 2.27 HR/9 against in the big leagues after posting a 6.10 ERA, 5.74 FIP and 5.27 xFIP with a 1.55 HR/9 in Triple-A on this season. Consequently, the rookie Lux has a huge chance on his hands . Lux singled about the first major league pitch he watched last night after some impressive work in his MLB debut in the minor leagues. Lux submitted a .392/.478/.719 slash line using a .327 ISO along with 188 wRC+ round 49 matches. Those are a few large numbers. He has hit 26 home runs and stolen 10 foundations between Double-A and Triple-A this season and ended up going 2 for 5 with a double and three runs scored last night in his big league debut. At the minimum price, it seems ridiculous to not be using Lux at a top position for example second foundation given his minor league creation together with his MLB debut last night against a pitcher fighting this season.
3B — Josh Donaldson (ATL) — $3,500 vs. TOR
I truly think that we are getting Donaldson at an excellent price here tonight as he takes on his former team at home. Donaldson took the opportunity and bet on himself using a one-year deal with the Braves offseason, a movement that is paying off well. Entering play tonight, Donaldson has swatted 34 home runs on the year which has given him a mercurial .272 ISO while he has also produced a 132 wRC+. His work has come against right-wing pitching, and in the home against right-handed pitching. Against righties this season, Donaldson has posted a .277 ISO, .925 OPS, .384 wOBA and 135 wRC+. In the home from righties, the figures get cranked up to some enormous .378 ISO, 1.177 OPS, .475 wOBA and also a 194 wRC+. In layman’s terms, Donaldson has struck half of the home runs (17) at home from right-wing pitching this season. He will very likely into the right-hander Font within his very first at-bat before rather likely viewing at least one or two more looks versus a righty. Just Donaldson owns a .211 ISO and 102 wRC+ in your home versus lefties this year. There is absolutely no reason you must be leaving Donaldson from a Braves pile tonight.
SS — Adalberto Mondesi (KC) — $3,100 vs. DET
Our next and final one-off at the nighttime is Mondesi whose Royals take on left-hander Daniel Norris along with the Detroit Tigers tonight at home. Not only will be confronting Norris, but we constantly have to keep in mind that the Tigers’ bullpen is among the strangest in baseball this season with their 5.00’pen ERA ranking 24th while their 5.19 bullpen FIP ranks 29th. As a result, I am loving Mondesi who provides us lots of cross-category upside from the projected — and beneficial — two-hole tonight. After finishing seven months with a shoulder injury, Mondesi returned and he did was move 4 to 5 with two runs scored and a whopping three stolen bases against the Orioles. Now, Mondesi’s work this season has not been great against lefties as he is hit for only a .124 ISO and .632 OPS against them, but that’s in an April-July sample given the harm. Last year, Mondesi posted a .289 moderate, .233 ISO, .834 OPS, .354 wOBA along with a 123 wRC+ from lefties, all which were superior to the same figures versus righties. He’s really stolen 11 of his 34 foundations this year against a lefty also, however keep in mind that he is going to face righties out of the barbarous Tigers bullpen as well. The ceiling is always high with the young shortstop tonight.
OF — Ronald Acuna Jr. (ATL) — $4,200 vs. TOR
Next person up in our four-man Braves stack is Acuna whose electricity and stolen base potential is possibly the very finest in baseball. Acuna has clubbed 36 home runs on the season and swiped 33 bases also. His overall numbers likely aren’t good enough to be contemplated in the NL MVP race believing he’s hitting .300 in .282 along with his ISO sits in .230 in comparison to some enormous ISO characters from Christian Yelich along with Cody Bellinger, but he’s a DFS beast. Even when he’s not hitting for power, he’s dangerous. For example, Acuna went 0 for 4 with a walk against the White Sox on Sunday, but still scored two runs due to stealing two bases. That’s still a fantastic DFS night. Acuna is really hitting .282 against both lefties and righties, and though the energy is improved versus lefties, he possesses a .214 ISO, .859 OPS, .361 wOBA and a 120 wRC+ against righties also. The stolen base upside is considerably greater against righties as he has stolen 30 of the 33 foundations at the cost of a right-handed pitcher. Ultimately, we have to enjoy the fact he’s going to hit in the leadoff spot, the very valuable place in the lineup . Let’s take all of above and roll onto it to direct our Braves four-man heap tonight.
OF — Matt Joyce (ATL) — $2,400 vs. TOR
Completing our four-man pile is Joyce who could deliver some top quality value in a real nice deal tonight. He has forced his big league cash off of his ability to strike right-handed pitching for electricity, and he has enjoyed a great season this year despite not hitting for a ton of home run power. He’s five home runs in 177 plate appearances on the season, also owns an adequate .160 ISO also. However, in addition, he possesses a 15.3% walk speed that has him sitting with a enormous .395 OBP along with a 122 wRC+. In other words, Joyce’s bat — together with park variables included — has been 22 percent more effective than league average thi season. All five of the home runs have come against right-handed pitching since he owns an .844 OPS against them with a 122 wRC+ to boot. However, he’s also hit lefties well in a small sample using an .830 OPS along with 121 wRC+ against these over the season as well. Joyce has been getting some regular reps in the plate of late and he has made good on the chance with the .878 OPS, .380 wOBA and also a 133 wRC+ to the month of August, even though he went hitless in 3 September spot appearances. Given the price and the fact he’s going to be the last person to hit in this pile, some extra-base manufacturing from Joyce would go a long way with this lineup this evening.
OF — Khris Davis (OAK) — $2,900 vs. LAA
The Oakland A’s continue to struggle for their playoff lives because he take on right-hander Jaime Barria and the Los Angeles Angels tonight. Barria enjoyed a excellent season between Triple-A along with the big leagues last year, but this season has been an absolutely disaster for the young right-hander — at both levels. Barria was absolutely destroyed for a 9.68 ERA, 7.02 FIP and a 6.43 xFIP across 10 starts at the Triple-A degree this season before posting a 6.10 ERA, 5.48 FIP plus a 5.07 xFIP at the major league level this year. He also posted a 2.98 HR/9 at Triple-A before a 2.18 mark in the bigs this year. Input Davis who has dropped off a cliff this season in terms of his home run power with just 19 on the year after hitting 42 in each of the last few decades. But, Davis has picked up it in the plate of late as he’s gone 6 for 11 (.546) with a homer, a double, four runs scored, two RBI and three walks his last three games. This sexy three-game stretch comes after recording only 1 hit over his previous nine games (seven starts). We have a red-hot bat facing a struggling pitcher along with the A’s are projected to score 5.5 conducts tonight, therefore Davis kick off an A’s mini-stack for us tonight.
UTIL — Seth Brown (OAK) — $2,600 vs. LAA
Maybe he could go under the radar awarded the huge bats on the A’s on a major slate, however Brown has has an absolutely massive season at Triple-A this calendar year prior to his promotion, therefore I’m enjoying his chances of becoming to the struggling Barria to cover a mini-stack tonight. At Triple-A this season, Brown submitted an eye-popping .337 ISO at the rear of 37 home runs while he also scored 101 runs, drove in 108 and murdered eight bases . He hasn’t hit for power from the big leagues but Brown is also hitting .423 using a .982 OPS, .419 wOBA along with 168 wRC to the point. Against right-handers like Barria, Brown published a 1.017 OPS in Triple-A this season as his gigantic .663 SLG was the leading element in that interval. Brown is hitting .450 with three championships and a 1.076 OPS up to now from right-handers across 20 at-bats in the big leagues to this stage. The major league sample is modest, but Brown pummeled and given Barria’s battles at both levels this year, Brown figures to be a big-time worth candidate on this grand tonight.
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